For the coming presidential election in USA, I am making this prediction maybe in the fashion of ‘hindsight’ that Obama would likely win the coming election. The reason is likely that Republican not fully united behind his back due to ideological difference, that is given the Democrat would united behind Obama in the first place. (My feeling, however, it is easier for Hilliary to join Obama than other Republican presidential Primary candidate to join Mc. Cain). For Republican, the question is whether to vote just because of his party; For Democrat, the question is who is the best candidate to run. Another factor is either Clinton Hilary or Obama would felt new compare to Mc. Cain, which has ran for president for several times. One is female another is African American while Mc. Cain is ‘just another Republican candidate’. He can win unless he is giving the electorate a feeling that he is ‘RADICALLY’ different from Bush, but how can he still be a Republican while remain ideological coherent? So Mc. Cain face a tougher battle than either Hillary Clinton and Obama.
An interest coincidence is that in the first of series 24, an Black America is running and elected president!
(2008/11/5: My prediction is accurate, Obama win by a landslide in electorate college, 8% in popular votes. )
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